Current forecast models for Taipei on September 6 point to daytime highs near 28–30°C amid scattered showers and northwest winds, creating tight uncertainty among the 26–30°C market outcomes. Persistent high humidity near 90% and variable cloud cover will limit solar heating, while any heavier rain bands could suppress the peak by 2–3°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. El Niño conditions, with central Pacific sea-surface temperatures at historic highs, favor broadly warmer-than-average patterns across Taiwan this season but introduce steering variability that keeps short-term model runs divergent on exact timing of moisture. Traders are weighting these near-term atmospheric dynamics heavily, as the resolution hinges on official Central Weather Administration observations rather than longer-term climatology.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Taipeh am 6. September?
31°C 37%
32°C 25%
30 °C 16%
28°C 11%
24°C oder weniger
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
11%
29°C
8%
30 °C
16%
31°C
28%
32°C
25%
33°C
11%
34°C oder höher
1%
31°C 37%
32°C 25%
30 °C 16%
28°C 11%
24°C oder weniger
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
11%
29°C
8%
30 °C
16%
31°C
28%
32°C
25%
33°C
11%
34°C oder höher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models for Taipei on September 6 point to daytime highs near 28–30°C amid scattered showers and northwest winds, creating tight uncertainty among the 26–30°C market outcomes. Persistent high humidity near 90% and variable cloud cover will limit solar heating, while any heavier rain bands could suppress the peak by 2–3°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. El Niño conditions, with central Pacific sea-surface temperatures at historic highs, favor broadly warmer-than-average patterns across Taiwan this season but introduce steering variability that keeps short-term model runs divergent on exact timing of moisture. Traders are weighting these near-term atmospheric dynamics heavily, as the resolution hinges on official Central Weather Administration observations rather than longer-term climatology.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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