Current short-range forecasts from multiple models place Madrid's September 6 maximum near 36°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, consistent with late-summer conditions but well above the 28.7°C climatological average. Trader-implied odds remain evenly distributed across 35–43°C because ensemble guidance still shows modest spread from variables such as afternoon boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of any thin high cloud, and local urban heat-island amplification. Official AEMET and ECMWF updates expected in the next 24–48 hours will tighten resolution criteria around the observed daily high, while historical analogs indicate that sustained clear, dry conditions can add 1–2°C relative to guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Madrid am 6. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Madrid am 6. September?
37°C 46%
36°C 31%
38°C 27%
39°C 20%
NEU
NEU
6. Sep. 2026
33°C oder weniger
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
8%
36°C
31%
37°C
46%
38°C
27%
39°C
20%
40°C
2%
41°C
2%
42°C
2%
43°C oder höher
<1%
37°C 46%
36°C 31%
38°C 27%
39°C 20%
NEU
NEU
6. Sep. 2026
33°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
1%
34°C
$0 Vol.
4%
35°C
$0 Vol.
8%
36°C
$0 Vol.
31%
37°C
$22 Vol.
46%
38°C
$0 Vol.
27%
39°C
$0 Vol.
20%
40°C
$0 Vol.
2%
41°C
$0 Vol.
2%
42°C
$0 Vol.
2%
43°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from multiple models place Madrid's September 6 maximum near 36°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, consistent with late-summer conditions but well above the 28.7°C climatological average. Trader-implied odds remain evenly distributed across 35–43°C because ensemble guidance still shows modest spread from variables such as afternoon boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of any thin high cloud, and local urban heat-island amplification. Official AEMET and ECMWF updates expected in the next 24–48 hours will tighten resolution criteria around the observed daily high, while historical analogs indicate that sustained clear, dry conditions can add 1–2°C relative to guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$22Enddatum
6. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from multiple models place Madrid's September 6 maximum near 36°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, consistent with late-summer conditions but well above the 28.7°C climatological average. Trader-implied odds remain evenly distributed across 35–43°C because ensemble guidance still shows modest spread from variables such as afternoon boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of any thin high cloud, and local urban heat-island amplification. Official AEMET and ECMWF updates expected in the next 24–48 hours will tighten resolution criteria around the observed daily high, while historical analogs indicate that sustained clear, dry conditions can add 1–2°C relative to guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$22Enddatum
6. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from multiple models place Madrid's September 6 maximum near 36°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, consistent with late-summer conditions but well above the 28.7°C climatological average. Trader-implied odds remain evenly distributed across 35–43°C because ensemble guidance still shows modest spread from variables such as afternoon boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of any thin high cloud, and local urban heat-island amplification. Official AEMET and ECMWF updates expected in the next 24–48 hours will tighten resolution criteria around the observed daily high, while historical analogs indicate that sustained clear, dry conditions can add 1–2°C relative to guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen