Recent forecasts from global models indicate a northwest flow advecting cooler maritime air into Moscow, limiting the September 8 maximum to the 13–15 °C range amid variable cloud cover and light winds. Daytime heating will depend on the timing of any clearing, with partial high clouds reducing solar insolation and keeping surface temperatures below seasonal norms of roughly 18 °C. Ensemble spreads in the latest GFS and ECMWF runs highlight sensitivity to exact cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14 °C. Updated model guidance expected overnight on September 7 will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 8. September?
14°C 36%
15°C 28%
13°C 18%
12°C 9%
7°C oder niedriger
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
3%
11°C
4%
12°C
9%
13°C
18%
14°C
36%
15°C
28%
16°C
7%
17°C oder höher
4%
14°C 36%
15°C 28%
13°C 18%
12°C 9%
7°C oder niedriger
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
3%
11°C
4%
12°C
9%
13°C
18%
14°C
36%
15°C
28%
16°C
7%
17°C oder höher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models indicate a northwest flow advecting cooler maritime air into Moscow, limiting the September 8 maximum to the 13–15 °C range amid variable cloud cover and light winds. Daytime heating will depend on the timing of any clearing, with partial high clouds reducing solar insolation and keeping surface temperatures below seasonal norms of roughly 18 °C. Ensemble spreads in the latest GFS and ECMWF runs highlight sensitivity to exact cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14 °C. Updated model guidance expected overnight on September 7 will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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