Recent Met Office and other model guidance points to a minimum temperature near 17–18°C overnight into September 14, driven by mild southwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and residual warmth from a recent unsettled but above-average period. These conditions align closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on 18°C, while modest probabilities on 19°C reflect some ensemble spread in overnight lows. Historical September minima in London average closer to 12–14°C, underscoring how the current pattern deviates from climatology. Updated forecasts ahead of the overnight period and any late shifts in cloud or wind will be the key variables for traders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 14. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in London am 14. September?
18°C 54%
19°C 32%
17°C 13%
16°C 5%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
12°C oder weniger
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
3%
16°C
5%
17°C
13%
18°C
54%
19°C
32%
20°C
2%
21°C
<1%
22°C oder höher
<1%
18°C 54%
19°C 32%
17°C 13%
16°C 5%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
12°C oder weniger
$53 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$21 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$111 Vol.
3%
16°C
$230 Vol.
5%
17°C
$3,043 Vol.
13%
18°C
$810 Vol.
54%
19°C
$926 Vol.
32%
20°C
$20 Vol.
2%
21°C
$43 Vol.
<1%
22°C oder höher
$43 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and other model guidance points to a minimum temperature near 17–18°C overnight into September 14, driven by mild southwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and residual warmth from a recent unsettled but above-average period. These conditions align closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on 18°C, while modest probabilities on 19°C reflect some ensemble spread in overnight lows. Historical September minima in London average closer to 12–14°C, underscoring how the current pattern deviates from climatology. Updated forecasts ahead of the overnight period and any late shifts in cloud or wind will be the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$5,318Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and other model guidance points to a minimum temperature near 17–18°C overnight into September 14, driven by mild southwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and residual warmth from a recent unsettled but above-average period. These conditions align closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on 18°C, while modest probabilities on 19°C reflect some ensemble spread in overnight lows. Historical September minima in London average closer to 12–14°C, underscoring how the current pattern deviates from climatology. Updated forecasts ahead of the overnight period and any late shifts in cloud or wind will be the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,318Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and other model guidance points to a minimum temperature near 17–18°C overnight into September 14, driven by mild southwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and residual warmth from a recent unsettled but above-average period. These conditions align closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on 18°C, while modest probabilities on 19°C reflect some ensemble spread in overnight lows. Historical September minima in London average closer to 12–14°C, underscoring how the current pattern deviates from climatology. Updated forecasts ahead of the overnight period and any late shifts in cloud or wind will be the key variables for traders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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