Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug indicate Jinan’s September 14 overnight low will likely fall between 16–21 °C under mostly clear skies and light variable winds that permit moderate radiative cooling. This range aligns with climatological September minima near 17 °C and explains the balanced market-implied odds near the middle outcomes (14–18 °C). Divergence among ensemble runs on dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing creates the 50 % probability assigned to both the coldest (<12 °C) and warmest (≥22 °C) tails, while upcoming 00 UTC model updates from NOAA and ECMWF will provide the next resolution-relevant data shift.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Jinan am 14. September?
12°C oder weniger 100%
22°C oder höher 100%
15°C 39%
16°C 39%
12°C oder weniger
100%
13°C
30%
14°C
30%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
17%
21°C
17%
22°C oder höher
100%
12°C oder weniger 100%
22°C oder höher 100%
15°C 39%
16°C 39%
12°C oder weniger
100%
13°C
30%
14°C
30%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
17%
21°C
17%
22°C oder höher
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug indicate Jinan’s September 14 overnight low will likely fall between 16–21 °C under mostly clear skies and light variable winds that permit moderate radiative cooling. This range aligns with climatological September minima near 17 °C and explains the balanced market-implied odds near the middle outcomes (14–18 °C). Divergence among ensemble runs on dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing creates the 50 % probability assigned to both the coldest (<12 °C) and warmest (≥22 °C) tails, while upcoming 00 UTC model updates from NOAA and ECMWF will provide the next resolution-relevant data shift.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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