**Diverging overnight forecasts from regional models are the main driver behind the near-even odds between 16°C and lower thresholds for Jinan’s daily minimum on September 13.** Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight favor strong radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30–32°C, but light variable winds and moderate humidity (around 40–60%) limit how far temperatures drop. Official guidance, including Met Office projections of a 16°C low and other runs closer to 18–19°C, creates the tight 45–50% clustering around 14–16°C outcomes. Jinan’s urban setting and September climatology of typically 17°C average lows add further uncertainty, with any late-evening cloud or wind shifts able to alter the final reading before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Jinan am 13. September?
12°C oder darunter 99%
14°C 99%
15°C 99%
22°C oder höher 99%
12°C oder darunter
99%
13°C
90%
14°C
99%
15°C
99%
16°C
-
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
90%
22°C oder höher
99%
12°C oder darunter 99%
14°C 99%
15°C 99%
22°C oder höher 99%
12°C oder darunter
99%
13°C
90%
14°C
99%
15°C
99%
16°C
-
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
90%
22°C oder höher
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Diverging overnight forecasts from regional models are the main driver behind the near-even odds between 16°C and lower thresholds for Jinan’s daily minimum on September 13.** Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight favor strong radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30–32°C, but light variable winds and moderate humidity (around 40–60%) limit how far temperatures drop. Official guidance, including Met Office projections of a 16°C low and other runs closer to 18–19°C, creates the tight 45–50% clustering around 14–16°C outcomes. Jinan’s urban setting and September climatology of typically 17°C average lows add further uncertainty, with any late-evening cloud or wind shifts able to alter the final reading before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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