Recent forecasts from GFS and ECMWF runs indicate a high near 25–26°C in Milan on September 16, driven by an approaching low-pressure system and associated front that will bring scattered thunderstorms and 2–22 mm of rain, limiting daytime heating after an initial warm start. This positions 26°C and 27°C as the leading market outcomes at 31% and 41.5% implied probability, respectively, while 28°C remains plausible if convective activity is delayed. The shift follows several days of clearer, warmer conditions with highs near 28°C on September 14–15. Traders are weighting the consensus across ensemble members and the timing of precipitation onset, which can suppress the daily maximum by several degrees. Updated model guidance and official Italian meteorological bulletins in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mailand am 16. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Mailand am 16. September?
27°C 41%
26°C 31%
28°C 19%
25°C 12%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
22°C oder darunter
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
12%
26°C
31%
27°C
41%
28°C
19%
29°C
6%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C oder höher
1%
27°C 41%
26°C 31%
28°C 19%
25°C 12%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
22°C oder darunter
$183 Vol.
1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
2%
24°C
$78 Vol.
3%
25°C
$78 Vol.
12%
26°C
$79 Vol.
31%
27°C
$175 Vol.
41%
28°C
$227 Vol.
19%
29°C
$66 Vol.
6%
30°C
$0 Vol.
3%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C oder höher
$420 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and ECMWF runs indicate a high near 25–26°C in Milan on September 16, driven by an approaching low-pressure system and associated front that will bring scattered thunderstorms and 2–22 mm of rain, limiting daytime heating after an initial warm start. This positions 26°C and 27°C as the leading market outcomes at 31% and 41.5% implied probability, respectively, while 28°C remains plausible if convective activity is delayed. The shift follows several days of clearer, warmer conditions with highs near 28°C on September 14–15. Traders are weighting the consensus across ensemble members and the timing of precipitation onset, which can suppress the daily maximum by several degrees. Updated model guidance and official Italian meteorological bulletins in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,306Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and ECMWF runs indicate a high near 25–26°C in Milan on September 16, driven by an approaching low-pressure system and associated front that will bring scattered thunderstorms and 2–22 mm of rain, limiting daytime heating after an initial warm start. This positions 26°C and 27°C as the leading market outcomes at 31% and 41.5% implied probability, respectively, while 28°C remains plausible if convective activity is delayed. The shift follows several days of clearer, warmer conditions with highs near 28°C on September 14–15. Traders are weighting the consensus across ensemble members and the timing of precipitation onset, which can suppress the daily maximum by several degrees. Updated model guidance and official Italian meteorological bulletins in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,306Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from GFS and ECMWF runs indicate a high near 25–26°C in Milan on September 16, driven by an approaching low-pressure system and associated front that will bring scattered thunderstorms and 2–22 mm of rain, limiting daytime heating after an initial warm start. This positions 26°C and 27°C as the leading market outcomes at 31% and 41.5% implied probability, respectively, while 28°C remains plausible if convective activity is delayed. The shift follows several days of clearer, warmer conditions with highs near 28°C on September 14–15. Traders are weighting the consensus across ensemble members and the timing of precipitation onset, which can suppress the daily maximum by several degrees. Updated model guidance and official Italian meteorological bulletins in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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