Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a typical late-summer pattern for Guangzhou, with overnight lows likely settling near 25–26°C amid high humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This setup favors mid-range outcomes, yet the closely matched market odds on ≤20°C or ≥30°C reflect trader focus on tail risks from model spread in nocturnal boundary-layer processes and potential short-term shifts in moisture advection or urban heat retention. Historical September lows average around 24°C, with extremes rare without strong frontal passages or clear-sky anomalies; fresh data releases from regional meteorological centers will clarify whether dew-point suppression or unexpected clearing alters the trajectory before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 18. September?
20°C oder darunter 89%
30°C oder höher 89%
27°C 49%
21°C 39%
20°C oder darunter
89%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
21%
25°C
22%
26°C
22%
27°C
27%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C oder höher
89%
20°C oder darunter 89%
30°C oder höher 89%
27°C 49%
21°C 39%
20°C oder darunter
89%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
21%
25°C
22%
26°C
22%
27°C
27%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C oder höher
89%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a typical late-summer pattern for Guangzhou, with overnight lows likely settling near 25–26°C amid high humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This setup favors mid-range outcomes, yet the closely matched market odds on ≤20°C or ≥30°C reflect trader focus on tail risks from model spread in nocturnal boundary-layer processes and potential short-term shifts in moisture advection or urban heat retention. Historical September lows average around 24°C, with extremes rare without strong frontal passages or clear-sky anomalies; fresh data releases from regional meteorological centers will clarify whether dew-point suppression or unexpected clearing alters the trajectory before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen