Persistent cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and a moist air mass over Tokyo are moderating overnight radiative cooling ahead of September 21, keeping the minimum temperature tightly clustered near 21–23 °C according to the latest model consensus. High humidity and northerly flow limit the diurnal range, with hourly guidance from sources such as JMA and global ensembles showing early-morning lows around 20–23 °C before daytime heating under overcast skies. Trader sentiment favors 22 °C because recent runs have converged on that value, though small shifts in storm track, wind speed, or timing of heaviest precipitation could still push the observed low one degree either side. Updated JMA and ensemble forecasts released in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 21. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 21. September?
22°C 42%
21°C 27%
23°C 25%
24°C 19%
NEU
NEU
21. Sep. 2026
17°C oder weniger
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
11%
21°C
26%
22°C
48%
23°C
25%
24°C
19%
25°C
4%
26°C
3%
27°C oder höher
2%
22°C 42%
21°C 27%
23°C 25%
24°C 19%
NEU
NEU
21. Sep. 2026
17°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C
$100 Vol.
2%
19°C
$51 Vol.
5%
20°C
$43 Vol.
11%
21°C
$127 Vol.
26%
22°C
$173 Vol.
48%
23°C
$20 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
19%
25°C
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and a moist air mass over Tokyo are moderating overnight radiative cooling ahead of September 21, keeping the minimum temperature tightly clustered near 21–23 °C according to the latest model consensus. High humidity and northerly flow limit the diurnal range, with hourly guidance from sources such as JMA and global ensembles showing early-morning lows around 20–23 °C before daytime heating under overcast skies. Trader sentiment favors 22 °C because recent runs have converged on that value, though small shifts in storm track, wind speed, or timing of heaviest precipitation could still push the observed low one degree either side. Updated JMA and ensemble forecasts released in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$514Enddatum
21. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and a moist air mass over Tokyo are moderating overnight radiative cooling ahead of September 21, keeping the minimum temperature tightly clustered near 21–23 °C according to the latest model consensus. High humidity and northerly flow limit the diurnal range, with hourly guidance from sources such as JMA and global ensembles showing early-morning lows around 20–23 °C before daytime heating under overcast skies. Trader sentiment favors 22 °C because recent runs have converged on that value, though small shifts in storm track, wind speed, or timing of heaviest precipitation could still push the observed low one degree either side. Updated JMA and ensemble forecasts released in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$514Enddatum
21. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and a moist air mass over Tokyo are moderating overnight radiative cooling ahead of September 21, keeping the minimum temperature tightly clustered near 21–23 °C according to the latest model consensus. High humidity and northerly flow limit the diurnal range, with hourly guidance from sources such as JMA and global ensembles showing early-morning lows around 20–23 °C before daytime heating under overcast skies. Trader sentiment favors 22 °C because recent runs have converged on that value, though small shifts in storm track, wind speed, or timing of heaviest precipitation could still push the observed low one degree either side. Updated JMA and ensemble forecasts released in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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