Recent model consensus from GFS and other global systems points to a maximum temperature of 24–25°C in Paris on September 11, supported by building high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies limiting afternoon heating. Official forecasts show afternoon peaks near 23–25°C, consistent with early September climatology where daily maxima average around 22–24°C. Minor differences among runs arise from subtle variations in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, creating the tight market spread between the two leading outcomes. Updated model guidance and surface observations through the morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 11. September?
24°C 50%
25°C 32%
23°C 12%
26°C 7%
$12,841 Vol.
$12,841 Vol.
19°C oder niedriger
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
12%
24°C
50%
25°C
32%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
24°C 50%
25°C 32%
23°C 12%
26°C 7%
$12,841 Vol.
$12,841 Vol.
19°C oder niedriger
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
12%
24°C
50%
25°C
32%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from GFS and other global systems points to a maximum temperature of 24–25°C in Paris on September 11, supported by building high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies limiting afternoon heating. Official forecasts show afternoon peaks near 23–25°C, consistent with early September climatology where daily maxima average around 22–24°C. Minor differences among runs arise from subtle variations in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, creating the tight market spread between the two leading outcomes. Updated model guidance and surface observations through the morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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