Forecast models from sources like GFS indicate Paris overnight lows on September 11 will likely range 13–15°C, driven by mild southerly flow, light winds limiting mixing, and variable cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions. This places the market-implied odds near 12–14°C in close contention, reflecting genuine uncertainty in exact minimums amid small differences in timing of any showers or cloud breaks. Historical September averages near 12°C provide context, yet current warmth from recent days supports slightly elevated readings. Traders monitor final model updates and Météo-France guidance for shifts before the overnight period resolves the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 11. September?
12°C 30%
13°C 29%
14°C 27%
11°C 11%
10°C oder weniger
2%
11°C
11%
12°C
30%
13°C
29%
14°C
27%
15°C
6%
16°C
5%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C oder höher
<1%
12°C 30%
13°C 29%
14°C 27%
11°C 11%
10°C oder weniger
2%
11°C
11%
12°C
30%
13°C
29%
14°C
27%
15°C
6%
16°C
5%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like GFS indicate Paris overnight lows on September 11 will likely range 13–15°C, driven by mild southerly flow, light winds limiting mixing, and variable cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions. This places the market-implied odds near 12–14°C in close contention, reflecting genuine uncertainty in exact minimums amid small differences in timing of any showers or cloud breaks. Historical September averages near 12°C provide context, yet current warmth from recent days supports slightly elevated readings. Traders monitor final model updates and Météo-France guidance for shifts before the overnight period resolves the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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