Recent forecasts for Lucknow indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C on September 11 amid a weakening southwest monsoon, with partly cloudy skies, easterly winds around 8–15 km/h, and a 50–70% chance of thunderstorms that could limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity near 80% and residual moisture from the Bay of Bengal maintain elevated overnight lows compared to drier post-monsoon conditions, while any clearer breaks or stronger subsidence could allow greater cooling toward the low-20s°C. Model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud persistence, creating balanced trader probabilities between unusually cool (22°C or below) and persistently warm (32°C or higher) outcomes versus the more typical mid-20s range. Updated IMD guidance and next model cycles will clarify whether the trough lingers or retreats.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Lucknow am 11. September?
22°C oder darunter 98%
32°C oder höher 98%
26°C 44%
28°C 39%
22°C oder darunter
98%
23°C
38%
24°C
37%
25°C
19%
26°C
23%
27°C
21%
28°C
39%
29°C
37%
30°C
37%
31°C
37%
32°C oder höher
98%
22°C oder darunter 98%
32°C oder höher 98%
26°C 44%
28°C 39%
22°C oder darunter
98%
23°C
38%
24°C
37%
25°C
19%
26°C
23%
27°C
21%
28°C
39%
29°C
37%
30°C
37%
31°C
37%
32°C oder höher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Lucknow indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C on September 11 amid a weakening southwest monsoon, with partly cloudy skies, easterly winds around 8–15 km/h, and a 50–70% chance of thunderstorms that could limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity near 80% and residual moisture from the Bay of Bengal maintain elevated overnight lows compared to drier post-monsoon conditions, while any clearer breaks or stronger subsidence could allow greater cooling toward the low-20s°C. Model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud persistence, creating balanced trader probabilities between unusually cool (22°C or below) and persistently warm (32°C or higher) outcomes versus the more typical mid-20s range. Updated IMD guidance and next model cycles will clarify whether the trough lingers or retreats.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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