Recent forecasts from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and international models indicate an overnight low of 22–23°C for September 22, driven by mostly cloudy skies, light northeast to east winds under 10 km/h, and stable high pressure that limits radiative cooling. This consensus positions 23°C as the market leader at 39% implied probability, with 22°C close behind, reflecting typical late-September conditions slightly above the monthly average low near 20°C. No significant weather systems or model divergences have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this outlook, keeping probabilities for 18°C or below at just 17%. Traders should monitor the final 24-hour forecast updates and official station readings for any last-minute adjustments in cloud cover or wind patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 22. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 22. September?
21°C 39%
23°C 39%
22°C 37%
26°C 28%
NEU
NEU
22. Sep. 2026
18°C oder darunter
14%
19°C
20%
20°C
20%
21°C
39%
22°C
37%
23°C
39%
24°C
22%
25°C
27%
26°C
28%
27°C
23%
28°C oder höher
19%
21°C 39%
23°C 39%
22°C 37%
26°C 28%
NEU
NEU
22. Sep. 2026
18°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
14%
19°C
$0 Vol.
20%
20°C
$0 Vol.
20%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
37%
23°C
$20 Vol.
39%
24°C
$40 Vol.
22%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
28%
27°C
$0 Vol.
23%
28°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and international models indicate an overnight low of 22–23°C for September 22, driven by mostly cloudy skies, light northeast to east winds under 10 km/h, and stable high pressure that limits radiative cooling. This consensus positions 23°C as the market leader at 39% implied probability, with 22°C close behind, reflecting typical late-September conditions slightly above the monthly average low near 20°C. No significant weather systems or model divergences have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this outlook, keeping probabilities for 18°C or below at just 17%. Traders should monitor the final 24-hour forecast updates and official station readings for any last-minute adjustments in cloud cover or wind patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$60Enddatum
22. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and international models indicate an overnight low of 22–23°C for September 22, driven by mostly cloudy skies, light northeast to east winds under 10 km/h, and stable high pressure that limits radiative cooling. This consensus positions 23°C as the market leader at 39% implied probability, with 22°C close behind, reflecting typical late-September conditions slightly above the monthly average low near 20°C. No significant weather systems or model divergences have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this outlook, keeping probabilities for 18°C or below at just 17%. Traders should monitor the final 24-hour forecast updates and official station readings for any last-minute adjustments in cloud cover or wind patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$60Enddatum
22. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and international models indicate an overnight low of 22–23°C for September 22, driven by mostly cloudy skies, light northeast to east winds under 10 km/h, and stable high pressure that limits radiative cooling. This consensus positions 23°C as the market leader at 39% implied probability, with 22°C close behind, reflecting typical late-September conditions slightly above the monthly average low near 20°C. No significant weather systems or model divergences have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this outlook, keeping probabilities for 18°C or below at just 17%. Traders should monitor the final 24-hour forecast updates and official station readings for any last-minute adjustments in cloud cover or wind patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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