Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and real-time observations peg Busan's highest temperature on May 1 at 23–24°C, driving the 100% market-implied probability for 24°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and 20% precipitation odds that have capped peak heating from a lingering cool air mass. Hourly readings aligned precisely with model guidance, peaking near 23°C by mid-afternoon under suppressed solar insolation below seasonal norms for early May, when historical averages hover around 20–22°C. This trader consensus reflects strong alignment between official data and skin-in-the-game positioning. A late-day clearing or wind shift could push above 25°C, though diminishing sun angle and overcast persistence make it improbable; final KMA station measurements will confirm resolution by midnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Busan on May 1?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 1?
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$92,948 Vol.
$92,948 Vol.
1. Mai 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$92,948 Vol.
$92,948 Vol.
1. Mai 2026
17°C or below
$4,989 Vol.
No
18°C
$5,141 Vol.
No
19°C
$8,894 Vol.
No
20°C
$8,845 Vol.
No
21°C
$7,918 Vol.
No
22°C
$11,839 Vol.
No
23°C
$19,036 Vol.
No
24°C
$11,775 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$5,316 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,592 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$5,603 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and real-time observations peg Busan's highest temperature on May 1 at 23–24°C, driving the 100% market-implied probability for 24°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and 20% precipitation odds that have capped peak heating from a lingering cool air mass. Hourly readings aligned precisely with model guidance, peaking near 23°C by mid-afternoon under suppressed solar insolation below seasonal norms for early May, when historical averages hover around 20–22°C. This trader consensus reflects strong alignment between official data and skin-in-the-game positioning. A late-day clearing or wind shift could push above 25°C, though diminishing sun angle and overcast persistence make it improbable; final KMA station measurements will confirm resolution by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 29, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volumen
$92,948Enddatum
1. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 29, 2026, 12:19 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and real-time observations peg Busan's highest temperature on May 1 at 23–24°C, driving the 100% market-implied probability for 24°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and 20% precipitation odds that have capped peak heating from a lingering cool air mass. Hourly readings aligned precisely with model guidance, peaking near 23°C by mid-afternoon under suppressed solar insolation below seasonal norms for early May, when historical averages hover around 20–22°C. This trader consensus reflects strong alignment between official data and skin-in-the-game positioning. A late-day clearing or wind shift could push above 25°C, though diminishing sun angle and overcast persistence make it improbable; final KMA station measurements will confirm resolution by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$92,948Enddatum
1. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 29, 2026, 12:19 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and real-time observations peg Busan's highest temperature on May 1 at 23–24°C, driving the 100% market-implied probability for 24°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and 20% precipitation odds that have capped peak heating from a lingering cool air mass. Hourly readings aligned precisely with model guidance, peaking near 23°C by mid-afternoon under suppressed solar insolation below seasonal norms for early May, when historical averages hover around 20–22°C. This trader consensus reflects strong alignment between official data and skin-in-the-game positioning. A late-day clearing or wind shift could push above 25°C, though diminishing sun angle and overcast persistence make it improbable; final KMA station measurements will confirm resolution by midnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen