Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature in Chengdu on April 18, driven by finalized observational data from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station (ZUUU), as reported by Weather Underground, confirming the day's peak at exactly 30°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Mid-April norms in the Sichuan Basin yield average highs of 23–26°C per historical China Meteorological Administration records, with occasional spikes above 30°C under high-pressure ridging, but evening cloud development today prevented further intensification. Absent rare data revisions post-finalization—a scenario precluded by market rules—this positioning reflects robust meteorological evidence with negligible uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 18?
30°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$82,493 Vol.
$82,493 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$82,493 Vol.
$82,493 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature in Chengdu on April 18, driven by finalized observational data from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station (ZUUU), as reported by Weather Underground, confirming the day's peak at exactly 30°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Mid-April norms in the Sichuan Basin yield average highs of 23–26°C per historical China Meteorological Administration records, with occasional spikes above 30°C under high-pressure ridging, but evening cloud development today prevented further intensification. Absent rare data revisions post-finalization—a scenario precluded by market rules—this positioning reflects robust meteorological evidence with negligible uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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