Latest short-range forecast models from major agencies have converged on a June 1 maximum of exactly 31°C in Chengdu, reflecting stable early-summer conditions across the Sichuan Basin where daytime highs typically range 28–33°C. This tight ensemble guidance, incorporating current atmospheric patterns, humidity levels, and minimal cloud-cover variability, underpins the market’s near-certain pricing on 31°C. Official observational data from meteorological stations will determine final resolution, with only minor deviations from model runs or localized microclimate effects able to alter the recorded peak. Historical June baselines support this outcome as the most probable under prevailing climatology.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 1?
31°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
32°C <1%
$66,428 Vol.
$66,428 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
32°C <1%
$66,428 Vol.
$66,428 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: May 30, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Latest short-range forecast models from major agencies have converged on a June 1 maximum of exactly 31°C in Chengdu, reflecting stable early-summer conditions across the Sichuan Basin where daytime highs typically range 28–33°C. This tight ensemble guidance, incorporating current atmospheric patterns, humidity levels, and minimal cloud-cover variability, underpins the market’s near-certain pricing on 31°C. Official observational data from meteorological stations will determine final resolution, with only minor deviations from model runs or localized microclimate effects able to alter the recorded peak. Historical June baselines support this outcome as the most probable under prevailing climatology.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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