Trader consensus strongly favors a daily high of 34°C in Chengdu today, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration showing stable high-pressure dominance over Sichuan province and limited warm-air advection. Ensemble forecasts place maximum temperatures within a narrow 32–34°C range under partly cloudy conditions, consistent with historical May climatology for the region where afternoon peaks rarely breach 35°C without strong frontal systems. Local surface observations through the morning align with these projections, showing gradual warming from overnight lows near 20°C. An unexpected shift in steering winds or enhanced solar heating could elevate readings, though current model consensus assigns minimal probability to such changes before sunset.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 20?
34°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$27,730 Vol.
$27,730 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$27,730 Vol.
$27,730 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 18, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Trader consensus strongly favors a daily high of 34°C in Chengdu today, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration showing stable high-pressure dominance over Sichuan province and limited warm-air advection. Ensemble forecasts place maximum temperatures within a narrow 32–34°C range under partly cloudy conditions, consistent with historical May climatology for the region where afternoon peaks rarely breach 35°C without strong frontal systems. Local surface observations through the morning align with these projections, showing gradual warming from overnight lows near 20°C. An unexpected shift in steering winds or enhanced solar heating could elevate readings, though current model consensus assigns minimal probability to such changes before sunset.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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