Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 94% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature reaching 58°F or higher on April 3 at O'Hare International Airport, backed by National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus projecting peaks in the low to mid-60s—well above the 54°F climatological normal. This positioning stems from a departing cold front after April 1's chilly 39°F high, ushering southwesterly winds and warm air advection under a strengthening upper-level ridge, fostering above-normal daytime heating. Realistic challenges include persistent showers and thunderstorms from today's severe weather risk, which could boost cloud cover, reduce insolation, and cap highs below 58°F if storms intensify early; hourly O'Hare observations and afternoon model updates will refine this outlook.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chicago on April 3?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 3?
58°F or higher 96%
56-57°F 5.0%
54-55°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$75,469 Vol.
$75,469 Vol.
3. Apr. 2026
39°F or below
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
5%
58°F or higher
96%
58°F or higher 96%
56-57°F 5.0%
54-55°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$75,469 Vol.
$75,469 Vol.
3. Apr. 2026
39°F or below
$5,124 Vol.
<1%
40-41°F
$3,990 Vol.
<1%
42-43°F
$3,848 Vol.
<1%
44-45°F
$5,381 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$4,702 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$11,931 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$17,047 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$5,223 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$5,956 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$5,168 Vol.
5%
58°F or higher
$7,455 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 94% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature reaching 58°F or higher on April 3 at O'Hare International Airport, backed by National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus projecting peaks in the low to mid-60s—well above the 54°F climatological normal. This positioning stems from a departing cold front after April 1's chilly 39°F high, ushering southwesterly winds and warm air advection under a strengthening upper-level ridge, fostering above-normal daytime heating. Realistic challenges include persistent showers and thunderstorms from today's severe weather risk, which could boost cloud cover, reduce insolation, and cap highs below 58°F if storms intensify early; hourly O'Hare observations and afternoon model updates will refine this outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
Volumen
$75,469Enddatum
3. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 3:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 94% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature reaching 58°F or higher on April 3 at O'Hare International Airport, backed by National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus projecting peaks in the low to mid-60s—well above the 54°F climatological normal. This positioning stems from a departing cold front after April 1's chilly 39°F high, ushering southwesterly winds and warm air advection under a strengthening upper-level ridge, fostering above-normal daytime heating. Realistic challenges include persistent showers and thunderstorms from today's severe weather risk, which could boost cloud cover, reduce insolation, and cap highs below 58°F if storms intensify early; hourly O'Hare observations and afternoon model updates will refine this outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$75,469Enddatum
3. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 3:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 94% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature reaching 58°F or higher on April 3 at O'Hare International Airport, backed by National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus projecting peaks in the low to mid-60s—well above the 54°F climatological normal. This positioning stems from a departing cold front after April 1's chilly 39°F high, ushering southwesterly winds and warm air advection under a strengthening upper-level ridge, fostering above-normal daytime heating. Realistic challenges include persistent showers and thunderstorms from today's severe weather risk, which could boost cloud cover, reduce insolation, and cap highs below 58°F if storms intensify early; hourly O'Hare observations and afternoon model updates will refine this outlook.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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