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Highest temperature in Chicago on April 6?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Chicago on April 6?

48-49°F 24%

50-51°F 24%

46-47°F 19%

52-53°F 17%

Polymarket
NEU

48-49°F 24%

50-51°F 24%

46-47°F 19%

52-53°F 17%

Polymarket
NEU

41°F or below

$734 Vol.

1%

42-43°F

$73 Vol.

1%

44-45°F

$76 Vol.

8%

46-47°F

$97 Vol.

19%

48-49°F

$89 Vol.

24%

50-51°F

$131 Vol.

24%

52-53°F

$116 Vol.

17%

54-55°F

$201 Vol.

15%

56-57°F

$93 Vol.

6%

58-59°F

$256 Vol.

3%

60°F or higher

$917 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecast models from NOAA and aligned commercial guidance project Chicago's highest temperature on April 6 clustering around 48-51°F under partly cloudy conditions, reflecting trader consensus in the closely matched leading outcomes. This positioning stems from a recent cold frontal passage on April 2-3 ushering northerly winds and a cooler continental air mass, capping highs below the 55.2°F seasonal normal at O'Hare. Differentiating factors include model spread on lingering cloud cover post-thunderstorms, potential Lake Michigan lake breeze reinforcement cooling urban areas by 2-5°F, and diurnal heating variability amid gusty winds. With resolution imminent, watch NWS updates and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs for shifts amid spring's inherent uncertainty.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,783
Enddatum
6. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecast models from NOAA and aligned commercial guidance project Chicago's highest temperature on April 6 clustering around 48-51°F under partly cloudy conditions, reflecting trader consensus in the closely matched leading outcomes. This positioning stems from a recent cold frontal passage on April 2-3 ushering northerly winds and a cooler continental air mass, capping highs below the 55.2°F seasonal normal at O'Hare. Differentiating factors include model spread on lingering cloud cover post-thunderstorms, potential Lake Michigan lake breeze reinforcement cooling urban areas by 2-5°F, and diurnal heating variability amid gusty winds. With resolution imminent, watch NWS updates and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs for shifts amid spring's inherent uncertainty.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,783
Enddatum
6. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Highest temperature in Chicago on April 6?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „48-49°F" mit 24%, gefolgt von „50-51°F" mit 24%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 24¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 24% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Highest temperature in Chicago on April 6?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Apr 2, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Highest temperature in Chicago on April 6?" ist „48-49°F" mit 24%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 24% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „50-51°F" mit 24%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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