Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 7, with ensemble forecasts from KNMI showing a spread of 18–22°C under anticipated sunny, dry conditions following a recent mild spell peaking near 22°C earlier this week. This even distribution across outcomes stems from early April's transitional weather patterns in the Netherlands, where southerly winds can advect warmer Atlantic air, but jet stream shifts or unexpected cloud cover could lower highs toward seasonal norms of 11–12°C. Model disagreements in ECMWF and GFS runs highlight key differentiators like frontal timing and soil moisture effects on daytime heating. Watch for daily KNMI updates and new model ensembles through April 6 to narrow the range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 7. April?
Höchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 7. April?
12°C oder weniger 26%
13°C 26%
14°C 26%
15°C 26%
NEU
NEU
7. Apr. 2026
12°C oder weniger
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C oder mehr
14%
12°C oder weniger 26%
13°C 26%
14°C 26%
15°C 26%
NEU
NEU
7. Apr. 2026
12°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
26%
18°C
$0 Vol.
26%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$0 Vol.
26%
22°C oder mehr
$5 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 7, with ensemble forecasts from KNMI showing a spread of 18–22°C under anticipated sunny, dry conditions following a recent mild spell peaking near 22°C earlier this week. This even distribution across outcomes stems from early April's transitional weather patterns in the Netherlands, where southerly winds can advect warmer Atlantic air, but jet stream shifts or unexpected cloud cover could lower highs toward seasonal norms of 11–12°C. Model disagreements in ECMWF and GFS runs highlight key differentiators like frontal timing and soil moisture effects on daytime heating. Watch for daily KNMI updates and new model ensembles through April 6 to narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 2, 2026, 8:59 PM ET
Volumen
$5Enddatum
7. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 2, 2026, 8:59 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 7, with ensemble forecasts from KNMI showing a spread of 18–22°C under anticipated sunny, dry conditions following a recent mild spell peaking near 22°C earlier this week. This even distribution across outcomes stems from early April's transitional weather patterns in the Netherlands, where southerly winds can advect warmer Atlantic air, but jet stream shifts or unexpected cloud cover could lower highs toward seasonal norms of 11–12°C. Model disagreements in ECMWF and GFS runs highlight key differentiators like frontal timing and soil moisture effects on daytime heating. Watch for daily KNMI updates and new model ensembles through April 6 to narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$5Enddatum
7. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 2, 2026, 8:59 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 7, with ensemble forecasts from KNMI showing a spread of 18–22°C under anticipated sunny, dry conditions following a recent mild spell peaking near 22°C earlier this week. This even distribution across outcomes stems from early April's transitional weather patterns in the Netherlands, where southerly winds can advect warmer Atlantic air, but jet stream shifts or unexpected cloud cover could lower highs toward seasonal norms of 11–12°C. Model disagreements in ECMWF and GFS runs highlight key differentiators like frontal timing and soil moisture effects on daytime heating. Watch for daily KNMI updates and new model ensembles through April 6 to narrow the range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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