Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 29°C in São Paulo on April 2, 2026, driven by finalized observational data from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport weather station (SBGR), as reported by Weather Underground. Hourly METAR observations, the gold standard for aviation and meteorological records, confirmed this peak amid partly cloudy conditions with light winds, aligning with typical autumnal variability in the region where April highs average 24–26°C per INMET historical baselines. Pre-event forecast models from sources like NOAA and local agencies projected similar mild warmth under a stable high-pressure ridge. Realistic challenges would require post-finalization revisions to SBGR data—unlikely, as market rules disregard such changes—or discrepancies in station calibration, though no such issues have emerged. Resolution awaits official data lock-in.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 2. April?
Höchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 2. April?
29°C 100.0%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$88,680 Vol.
$88,680 Vol.
2. Apr. 2026
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C oder höher
<1%
29°C 100.0%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$88,680 Vol.
$88,680 Vol.
2. Apr. 2026
29°C
$13,103 Vol.
100%
30°C
$9,788 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$10,607 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5,677 Vol.
<1%
33°C oder höher
$2,567 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 29°C in São Paulo on April 2, 2026, driven by finalized observational data from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport weather station (SBGR), as reported by Weather Underground. Hourly METAR observations, the gold standard for aviation and meteorological records, confirmed this peak amid partly cloudy conditions with light winds, aligning with typical autumnal variability in the region where April highs average 24–26°C per INMET historical baselines. Pre-event forecast models from sources like NOAA and local agencies projected similar mild warmth under a stable high-pressure ridge. Realistic challenges would require post-finalization revisions to SBGR data—unlikely, as market rules disregard such changes—or discrepancies in station calibration, though no such issues have emerged. Resolution awaits official data lock-in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Volumen
$88,680Enddatum
2. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 1:53 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 29°C in São Paulo on April 2, 2026, driven by finalized observational data from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport weather station (SBGR), as reported by Weather Underground. Hourly METAR observations, the gold standard for aviation and meteorological records, confirmed this peak amid partly cloudy conditions with light winds, aligning with typical autumnal variability in the region where April highs average 24–26°C per INMET historical baselines. Pre-event forecast models from sources like NOAA and local agencies projected similar mild warmth under a stable high-pressure ridge. Realistic challenges would require post-finalization revisions to SBGR data—unlikely, as market rules disregard such changes—or discrepancies in station calibration, though no such issues have emerged. Resolution awaits official data lock-in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$88,680Enddatum
2. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 1:53 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 29°C in São Paulo on April 2, 2026, driven by finalized observational data from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport weather station (SBGR), as reported by Weather Underground. Hourly METAR observations, the gold standard for aviation and meteorological records, confirmed this peak amid partly cloudy conditions with light winds, aligning with typical autumnal variability in the region where April highs average 24–26°C per INMET historical baselines. Pre-event forecast models from sources like NOAA and local agencies projected similar mild warmth under a stable high-pressure ridge. Realistic challenges would require post-finalization revisions to SBGR data—unlikely, as market rules disregard such changes—or discrepancies in station calibration, though no such issues have emerged. Resolution awaits official data lock-in.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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