Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, with implied odds favoring 22°C (25%) amid model ensemble highs of 20–23°C from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global runs like ECMWF. Recent partial clearing after April 3's overcast conditions (CMA-reported high 24°C) boosted April 4–5 forecasts to 25–27°C, but updated guidance shows increasing cloud cover and 40–60% precipitation chances for April 6, capping diurnal warming in the Sichuan Basin's humid spring regime. Historical April averages hover at 21–22°C; key differentiators include shower timing and low-level moisture influx. Watch CMA evening bulletins and new model outputs for shifts as landfall nears resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 6?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 6?
22°C 26%
21°C 22%
23°C 15%
20°C 14%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
6%
19°C
11%
20°C
14%
21°C
22%
22°C
26%
23°C
15%
24°C
5%
25°C
7%
26°C or higher
4%
22°C 26%
21°C 22%
23°C 15%
20°C 14%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
6%
19°C
11%
20°C
14%
21°C
22%
22°C
26%
23°C
15%
24°C
5%
25°C
7%
26°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 2, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, with implied odds favoring 22°C (25%) amid model ensemble highs of 20–23°C from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global runs like ECMWF. Recent partial clearing after April 3's overcast conditions (CMA-reported high 24°C) boosted April 4–5 forecasts to 25–27°C, but updated guidance shows increasing cloud cover and 40–60% precipitation chances for April 6, capping diurnal warming in the Sichuan Basin's humid spring regime. Historical April averages hover at 21–22°C; key differentiators include shower timing and low-level moisture influx. Watch CMA evening bulletins and new model outputs for shifts as landfall nears resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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