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Highest temperature in Taipei on April 4?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Taipei on April 4?

Apr. 3

Apr. 4

Apr. 5

Apr. 6

Apr. 3

Apr. 4

Apr. 5

Apr. 6

24°C 27%

23°C 21%

25°C 20%

26°C 15%

Polymarket
NEU

24°C 27%

23°C 21%

25°C 20%

26°C 15%

Polymarket
NEU

22°C or below

$874 Vol.

7%

23°C

$562 Vol.

21%

24°C

$755 Vol.

27%

25°C

$569 Vol.

20%

26°C

$481 Vol.

15%

27°C

$481 Vol.

8%

28°C

$467 Vol.

5%

29°C

$258 Vol.

1%

30°C

$384 Vol.

<1%

31°C

$579 Vol.

1%

32°C or higher

$1,571 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast drives trader sentiment, projecting Taipei's highest temperature on April 4 at 21–24°C under mostly cloudy skies with showers or thunderstorms and a 70% rain chance from an approaching weather front. This aligns with closely matched market-implied odds favoring 24°C (26%) over 25°C (19%) and 23°C (17.5%), reflecting model consensus from ECMWF and GFS on moist airflow suppressing daytime heating via persistent cloud cover and precipitation. Key differentiators include frontal timing variations—earlier passage could limit peaks to 23°C through heavier showers, while delays might permit brief clearing for 25–26°C. Historical early-April highs average near 24°C, with new hourly observations and evening model updates poised to refine probabilities amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$6,982
Enddatum
4. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast drives trader sentiment, projecting Taipei's highest temperature on April 4 at 21–24°C under mostly cloudy skies with showers or thunderstorms and a 70% rain chance from an approaching weather front. This aligns with closely matched market-implied odds favoring 24°C (26%) over 25°C (19%) and 23°C (17.5%), reflecting model consensus from ECMWF and GFS on moist airflow suppressing daytime heating via persistent cloud cover and precipitation. Key differentiators include frontal timing variations—earlier passage could limit peaks to 23°C through heavier showers, while delays might permit brief clearing for 25–26°C. Historical early-April highs average near 24°C, with new hourly observations and evening model updates poised to refine probabilities amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$6,982
Enddatum
4. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Highest temperature in Taipei on April 4?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „24°C" mit 27%, gefolgt von „23°C" mit 21%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 27¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 27% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Highest temperature in Taipei on April 4?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Mar 29, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Highest temperature in Taipei on April 4?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Highest temperature in Taipei on April 4?" ist „24°C" mit 27%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 27% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „23°C" mit 21%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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