India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 38°C in Lucknow on April 3 under clear skies transitioning to mainly clear, following yesterday's observed high of 37.5°C (0.8–1.1°C above normal) and this morning's minimum of 23.4°C (+4.9°C departure), positioning trader consensus at 46.5% implied probability for exactly 35°C amid climatological early-April averages near 36–37°C. Rising heat from prolonged clear conditions and northwest winds supports potential peaks near 38°C, but hazy atmospheres and model uncertainty—evident in ensemble spreads of 36–39°C—favor the mid-30s, with 26.2% on 34°C or below reflecting risks of afternoon clouding or gusts. Airport observations will determine resolution; check IMD updates hourly as peak heating approaches mid-afternoon.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 3?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 3?
34°C or below 50.7%
35°C 18%
36°C 14%
37°C 1.4%
$61,265 Vol.
$61,265 Vol.
34°C or below
51%
35°C
26%
36°C
14%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
34°C or below 50.7%
35°C 18%
36°C 14%
37°C 1.4%
$61,265 Vol.
$61,265 Vol.
34°C or below
51%
35°C
26%
36°C
14%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 38°C in Lucknow on April 3 under clear skies transitioning to mainly clear, following yesterday's observed high of 37.5°C (0.8–1.1°C above normal) and this morning's minimum of 23.4°C (+4.9°C departure), positioning trader consensus at 46.5% implied probability for exactly 35°C amid climatological early-April averages near 36–37°C. Rising heat from prolonged clear conditions and northwest winds supports potential peaks near 38°C, but hazy atmospheres and model uncertainty—evident in ensemble spreads of 36–39°C—favor the mid-30s, with 26.2% on 34°C or below reflecting risks of afternoon clouding or gusts. Airport observations will determine resolution; check IMD updates hourly as peak heating approaches mid-afternoon.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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