Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 52.5% implied probability to 33°C or below as Lucknow's highest temperature on April 5, closely followed by 34°C at 29.5%, reflecting India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting maximums around 33–35°C amid partly cloudy skies and possible thundery developments with light rain. Recent IMD bulletins highlight isolated thunderstorms and gusty winds across Uttar Pradesh through early April, suppressing daytime heating by increasing cloud cover and convective mixing, which reduces surface insolation compared to recent clearer days with highs near 38°C on April 1–2. This wetter-than-normal pre-monsoon pattern, per IMD's seasonal outlook, tempers peak temperatures below the April historical average of 36–39°C. Watch IMD's daily updates tomorrow for refined model guidance, as minor shifts in cloudiness could adjust outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 5?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 5?
33°C or below 58%
34°C 30%
35°C 10%
36°C 5%
33°C or below
58%
34°C
30%
35°C
10%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
33°C or below 58%
34°C 30%
35°C 10%
36°C 5%
33°C or below
58%
34°C
30%
35°C
10%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 52.5% implied probability to 33°C or below as Lucknow's highest temperature on April 5, closely followed by 34°C at 29.5%, reflecting India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting maximums around 33–35°C amid partly cloudy skies and possible thundery developments with light rain. Recent IMD bulletins highlight isolated thunderstorms and gusty winds across Uttar Pradesh through early April, suppressing daytime heating by increasing cloud cover and convective mixing, which reduces surface insolation compared to recent clearer days with highs near 38°C on April 1–2. This wetter-than-normal pre-monsoon pattern, per IMD's seasonal outlook, tempers peak temperatures below the April historical average of 36–39°C. Watch IMD's daily updates tomorrow for refined model guidance, as minor shifts in cloudiness could adjust outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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