Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast for Tokyo on April 3 projects a high of 20°C under clear skies with 0% precipitation probability, fueling trader sentiment for the leading outcome amid light winds favoring daytime solar heating. This edges out 19°C (43%) as global models diverge—JMA's MSM at 17.8°C, ECMWF at 18.2°C, and GFS at 18.5°C—likely underestimating urban heat island effects at Haneda Airport station, the market's resolution source via Wunderground whole-degree readings. Spring high-pressure ridging supports insolation-driven peaks, but sea breeze intrusion or afternoon cloud development could cap temperatures below 20°C, heightening uncertainty in this tight race. Monitor JMA hourly updates for intraday shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 3?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 3?
19°C 52%
20°C 28%
21°C or higher 14.4%
16°C <1%
$116,493 Vol.
$116,493 Vol.
3. Apr. 2026
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
44%
20°C
28%
21°C or higher
14%
19°C 52%
20°C 28%
21°C or higher 14.4%
16°C <1%
$116,493 Vol.
$116,493 Vol.
3. Apr. 2026
16°C
$13,621 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$12,113 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$16,489 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$6,816 Vol.
44%
20°C
$6,296 Vol.
28%
21°C or higher
$8,480 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast for Tokyo on April 3 projects a high of 20°C under clear skies with 0% precipitation probability, fueling trader sentiment for the leading outcome amid light winds favoring daytime solar heating. This edges out 19°C (43%) as global models diverge—JMA's MSM at 17.8°C, ECMWF at 18.2°C, and GFS at 18.5°C—likely underestimating urban heat island effects at Haneda Airport station, the market's resolution source via Wunderground whole-degree readings. Spring high-pressure ridging supports insolation-driven peaks, but sea breeze intrusion or afternoon cloud development could cap temperatures below 20°C, heightening uncertainty in this tight race. Monitor JMA hourly updates for intraday shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Volumen
$116,493Enddatum
3. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 3:32 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Einspruchsfrist
Endgültig
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast for Tokyo on April 3 projects a high of 20°C under clear skies with 0% precipitation probability, fueling trader sentiment for the leading outcome amid light winds favoring daytime solar heating. This edges out 19°C (43%) as global models diverge—JMA's MSM at 17.8°C, ECMWF at 18.2°C, and GFS at 18.5°C—likely underestimating urban heat island effects at Haneda Airport station, the market's resolution source via Wunderground whole-degree readings. Spring high-pressure ridging supports insolation-driven peaks, but sea breeze intrusion or afternoon cloud development could cap temperatures below 20°C, heightening uncertainty in this tight race. Monitor JMA hourly updates for intraday shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$116,493Enddatum
3. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 3:32 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Einspruchsfrist
Endgültig
Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast for Tokyo on April 3 projects a high of 20°C under clear skies with 0% precipitation probability, fueling trader sentiment for the leading outcome amid light winds favoring daytime solar heating. This edges out 19°C (43%) as global models diverge—JMA's MSM at 17.8°C, ECMWF at 18.2°C, and GFS at 18.5°C—likely underestimating urban heat island effects at Haneda Airport station, the market's resolution source via Wunderground whole-degree readings. Spring high-pressure ridging supports insolation-driven peaks, but sea breeze intrusion or afternoon cloud development could cap temperatures below 20°C, heightening uncertainty in this tight race. Monitor JMA hourly updates for intraday shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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