Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 21°C (32.5%) and 22°C (28.5%) as near-equally likely highest temperatures for Tokyo on April 6, reflecting tight uncertainty in Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-range forecast models that project highs around 20–22°C amid a high-pressure ridge over the Kanto region. Recent 48-hour updates show ensemble means near 21°C, driven by mild southerly flows early in the period shifting to lighter northerly winds, with 70–80% precipitation probabilities risking cloud cover to suppress daytime insolation and cap peaks at 20°C or boost to 22°C under clearer skies. Historical April baselines average 19°C at Haneda Airport station, but JMA's April-June outlook signals above-normal temperatures, amplifying variability. Watch JMA's twice-daily forecast refreshes for shifts in model agreement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 6?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 6?
21°C 34%
22°C 29%
20°C 17%
23°C or higher 17%
NEU
NEU
6. Apr. 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
9%
20°C
17%
21°C
34%
22°C
29%
23°C or higher
17%
21°C 34%
22°C 29%
20°C 17%
23°C or higher 17%
NEU
NEU
6. Apr. 2026
13°C or below
$871 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$887 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$994 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$633 Vol.
1%
17°C
$820 Vol.
1%
18°C
$728 Vol.
3%
19°C
$926 Vol.
9%
20°C
$1,182 Vol.
17%
21°C
$808 Vol.
34%
22°C
$885 Vol.
29%
23°C or higher
$1,238 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 21°C (32.5%) and 22°C (28.5%) as near-equally likely highest temperatures for Tokyo on April 6, reflecting tight uncertainty in Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-range forecast models that project highs around 20–22°C amid a high-pressure ridge over the Kanto region. Recent 48-hour updates show ensemble means near 21°C, driven by mild southerly flows early in the period shifting to lighter northerly winds, with 70–80% precipitation probabilities risking cloud cover to suppress daytime insolation and cap peaks at 20°C or boost to 22°C under clearer skies. Historical April baselines average 19°C at Haneda Airport station, but JMA's April-June outlook signals above-normal temperatures, amplifying variability. Watch JMA's twice-daily forecast refreshes for shifts in model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Volumen
$9,974Enddatum
6. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 21°C (32.5%) and 22°C (28.5%) as near-equally likely highest temperatures for Tokyo on April 6, reflecting tight uncertainty in Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-range forecast models that project highs around 20–22°C amid a high-pressure ridge over the Kanto region. Recent 48-hour updates show ensemble means near 21°C, driven by mild southerly flows early in the period shifting to lighter northerly winds, with 70–80% precipitation probabilities risking cloud cover to suppress daytime insolation and cap peaks at 20°C or boost to 22°C under clearer skies. Historical April baselines average 19°C at Haneda Airport station, but JMA's April-June outlook signals above-normal temperatures, amplifying variability. Watch JMA's twice-daily forecast refreshes for shifts in model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$9,974Enddatum
6. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 21°C (32.5%) and 22°C (28.5%) as near-equally likely highest temperatures for Tokyo on April 6, reflecting tight uncertainty in Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-range forecast models that project highs around 20–22°C amid a high-pressure ridge over the Kanto region. Recent 48-hour updates show ensemble means near 21°C, driven by mild southerly flows early in the period shifting to lighter northerly winds, with 70–80% precipitation probabilities risking cloud cover to suppress daytime insolation and cap peaks at 20°C or boost to 22°C under clearer skies. Historical April baselines average 19°C at Haneda Airport station, but JMA's April-June outlook signals above-normal temperatures, amplifying variability. Watch JMA's twice-daily forecast refreshes for shifts in model agreement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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