Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global model forecasts for Seoul's April 4 high temperature, with ensembles from recent GFS and ECMWF 00Z/12Z runs clustering around 15°C amid variable cloud cover and 40-70% morning precipitation chances that could limit solar insolation. Differentiating factors include the timing of rain clearing—persistent overcast skies favoring 14-15°C outcomes, while earlier breaks allowing more daytime heating toward 16-17°C—against early April climatology averaging 15-16°C highs under transitional spring patterns with weak cold air advection. Watch KMA short-range updates today for refinements ahead of resolution based on official station observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Seoul on April 4?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 4?
15°C 24%
17°C or higher 23.4%
16°C 20%
14°C 20%
$73,690 Vol.
$73,690 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
13%
14°C
20%
15°C
24%
16°C
20%
17°C or higher
23%
15°C 24%
17°C or higher 23.4%
16°C 20%
14°C 20%
$73,690 Vol.
$73,690 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
13%
14°C
20%
15°C
24%
16°C
20%
17°C or higher
23%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global model forecasts for Seoul's April 4 high temperature, with ensembles from recent GFS and ECMWF 00Z/12Z runs clustering around 15°C amid variable cloud cover and 40-70% morning precipitation chances that could limit solar insolation. Differentiating factors include the timing of rain clearing—persistent overcast skies favoring 14-15°C outcomes, while earlier breaks allowing more daytime heating toward 16-17°C—against early April climatology averaging 15-16°C highs under transitional spring patterns with weak cold air advection. Watch KMA short-range updates today for refinements ahead of resolution based on official station observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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