Météo-France's latest forecast, updated this morning, projects a daytime high of 13°C in Paris today amid persistent overcast skies from an incoming northwest perturbation, with scattered afternoon showers and weak southwest winds limiting insolation and surface heating. This aligns with tight ensemble consensus from ECMWF and other models, reflecting cloudy conditions that cap temperatures below seasonal April averages of around 15–17°C. Trader-implied odds at 92.5% for 13°C capture this strong scientific agreement on subdued warming under thick cloud cover. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for brief solar gains pushing toward 14°C, or stalled frontal timing allowing slight overnight recovery, though model runs show low probability for such shifts as observations accumulate through evening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Paris on April 3?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 3?
13°C 90.1%
14°C 9%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$171,405 Vol.
$171,405 Vol.
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
90%
14°C
9%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 90.1%
14°C 9%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$171,405 Vol.
$171,405 Vol.
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
90%
14°C
9%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Einspruchsfrist
Endgültig
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Einspruchsfrist
Endgültig
Météo-France's latest forecast, updated this morning, projects a daytime high of 13°C in Paris today amid persistent overcast skies from an incoming northwest perturbation, with scattered afternoon showers and weak southwest winds limiting insolation and surface heating. This aligns with tight ensemble consensus from ECMWF and other models, reflecting cloudy conditions that cap temperatures below seasonal April averages of around 15–17°C. Trader-implied odds at 92.5% for 13°C capture this strong scientific agreement on subdued warming under thick cloud cover. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for brief solar gains pushing toward 14°C, or stalled frontal timing allowing slight overnight recovery, though model runs show low probability for such shifts as observations accumulate through evening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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