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Highest temperature in Paris on April 3?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Paris on April 3?

13°C 90.1%

14°C 9%

15°C <1%

16°C <1%

Polymarket

$171,405 Vol.

13°C 90.1%

14°C 9%

15°C <1%

16°C <1%

Polymarket

$171,405 Vol.

11°C

$21,415 Vol.

<1%

12°C

$24,389 Vol.

<1%

13°C

$14,945 Vol.

90%

14°C

$16,123 Vol.

9%

15°C

$14,729 Vol.

1%

16°C

$9,676 Vol.

<1%

17°C

$5,994 Vol.

<1%

18°C or higher

$3,138 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Météo-France's latest forecast, updated this morning, projects a daytime high of 13°C in Paris today amid persistent overcast skies from an incoming northwest perturbation, with scattered afternoon showers and weak southwest winds limiting insolation and surface heating. This aligns with tight ensemble consensus from ECMWF and other models, reflecting cloudy conditions that cap temperatures below seasonal April averages of around 15–17°C. Trader-implied odds at 92.5% for 13°C capture this strong scientific agreement on subdued warming under thick cloud cover. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for brief solar gains pushing toward 14°C, or stalled frontal timing allowing slight overnight recovery, though model runs show low probability for such shifts as observations accumulate through evening.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$171,405
Enddatum
3. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Einspruchsfrist

Endgültig

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Météo-France's latest forecast, updated this morning, projects a daytime high of 13°C in Paris today amid persistent overcast skies from an incoming northwest perturbation, with scattered afternoon showers and weak southwest winds limiting insolation and surface heating. This aligns with tight ensemble consensus from ECMWF and other models, reflecting cloudy conditions that cap temperatures below seasonal April averages of around 15–17°C. Trader-implied odds at 92.5% for 13°C capture this strong scientific agreement on subdued warming under thick cloud cover. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for brief solar gains pushing toward 14°C, or stalled frontal timing allowing slight overnight recovery, though model runs show low probability for such shifts as observations accumulate through evening.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$171,405
Enddatum
3. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Einspruchsfrist

Endgültig

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Highest temperature in Paris on April 3?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „13°C" mit 90%, gefolgt von „14°C" mit 9%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 90¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 90% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Highest temperature in Paris on April 3?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $171.4K generiert, seit der Markt am Mar 29, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Highest temperature in Paris on April 3?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Highest temperature in Paris on April 3?" ist „13°C" mit 90%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 90% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „14°C" mit 9%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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