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Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 7?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 7?

Apr. 3

Apr. 4

Apr. 5

Apr. 6

Apr. 3

Apr. 4

Apr. 5

Apr. 6

11°C 25%

12°C 20%

13°C 20%

10°C 17%

Polymarket
NEU

11°C 25%

12°C 20%

13°C 20%

10°C 17%

Polymarket
NEU

6°C or below

$186 Vol.

3%

7°C

$203 Vol.

5%

8°C

$0 Vol.

8%

9°C

$0 Vol.

16%

10°C

$0 Vol.

17%

11°C

$0 Vol.

25%

12°C

$0 Vol.

20%

13°C

$26 Vol.

20%

14°C

$0 Vol.

15%

15°C

$0 Vol.

11%

16°C or higher

$0 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Warsaw on April 7 show a broad spread in projected high temperatures, typically centering around 11-13°C but ranging from 8°C to 16°C+, reflecting trader consensus in the closely matched market-implied odds. Early April weather in central Poland exhibits high variability due to fluctuating air masses—continental high-pressure ridges can deliver warmer advection up to 16°C or higher, while Atlantic lows bring cooler, cloudy conditions favoring 8-12°C outcomes. Historical climatology supports this, with average highs near 12°C but daily extremes common; no major developments in the past 48 hours have shifted model consensus significantly. Traders await daily IMGW updates and new ensemble runs for resolution clarity by week's end.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$389
Enddatum
7. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 3, 2026, 6:24 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Warsaw on April 7 show a broad spread in projected high temperatures, typically centering around 11-13°C but ranging from 8°C to 16°C+, reflecting trader consensus in the closely matched market-implied odds. Early April weather in central Poland exhibits high variability due to fluctuating air masses—continental high-pressure ridges can deliver warmer advection up to 16°C or higher, while Atlantic lows bring cooler, cloudy conditions favoring 8-12°C outcomes. Historical climatology supports this, with average highs near 12°C but daily extremes common; no major developments in the past 48 hours have shifted model consensus significantly. Traders await daily IMGW updates and new ensemble runs for resolution clarity by week's end.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$389
Enddatum
7. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 3, 2026, 6:24 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 7?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „11°C" mit 25%, gefolgt von „12°C" mit 20%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 25¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 25% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 7?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Apr 3, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 7?" ist „11°C" mit 25%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 25% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „12°C" mit 20%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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