Trader consensus heavily favors 25°C (73% implied probability) as Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport's highest temperature on April 3, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast of cloudy skies with a 25–27°C peak, aligned closely with AccuWeather (78°F or 25.6°C) and TimeandDate (76–79°F or 24–26°C) model ensembles. Morning observations show mist and temperatures around 17–20°C, with overcast conditions limiting solar insolation and capping warming in the Sichuan Basin's spring climatology, where April averages hover near 22°C but cloud cover often tempers peaks. Recent light rain on April 2 reinforced cooler start; afternoon hourly updates from 2–4 p.m. local time could refine trajectories, though genuine uncertainty persists around any partial clearing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 3?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 3?
25°C 78%
26°C 21%
27°C 2.4%
28°C <1%
$66,990 Vol.
$66,990 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
78%
26°C
21%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 78%
26°C 21%
27°C 2.4%
28°C <1%
$66,990 Vol.
$66,990 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
78%
26°C
21%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Einspruchsfrist
Endgültig
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Einspruchsfrist
Endgültig
Trader consensus heavily favors 25°C (73% implied probability) as Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport's highest temperature on April 3, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast of cloudy skies with a 25–27°C peak, aligned closely with AccuWeather (78°F or 25.6°C) and TimeandDate (76–79°F or 24–26°C) model ensembles. Morning observations show mist and temperatures around 17–20°C, with overcast conditions limiting solar insolation and capping warming in the Sichuan Basin's spring climatology, where April averages hover near 22°C but cloud cover often tempers peaks. Recent light rain on April 2 reinforced cooler start; afternoon hourly updates from 2–4 p.m. local time could refine trajectories, though genuine uncertainty persists around any partial clearing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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