Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 14°C (41%) and 13°C (28.5%) as the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 4, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs near 14°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge ushering mild westerly airflow and partial cloud cover. Recent IMGW observations show persistent spring-like conditions with highs in the low teens over the past week, slightly above the early April climatological average of 12°C, due to reduced cold air outbreaks following March's chillier patterns. Uncertainties in boundary layer mixing and potential afternoon clearing could nudge outcomes toward 15°C (13.5%), with final IMGW hourly data releases overnight offering key refinements before resolution via official Warsaw station measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Warsaw on April 4?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 4?
14°C 41%
13°C 29%
15°C 14%
12°C 11%
$19,381 Vol.
$19,381 Vol.
4. Apr. 2026
10°C or below
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
11%
13°C
29%
14°C
41%
15°C
14%
16°C
4%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 41%
13°C 29%
15°C 14%
12°C 11%
$19,381 Vol.
$19,381 Vol.
4. Apr. 2026
10°C or below
$2,416 Vol.
1%
11°C
$1,756 Vol.
2%
12°C
$1,800 Vol.
11%
13°C
$1,662 Vol.
29%
14°C
$1,934 Vol.
41%
15°C
$1,369 Vol.
14%
16°C
$2,284 Vol.
4%
17°C
$1,921 Vol.
2%
18°C
$1,384 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,744 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$1,164 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 14°C (41%) and 13°C (28.5%) as the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 4, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs near 14°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge ushering mild westerly airflow and partial cloud cover. Recent IMGW observations show persistent spring-like conditions with highs in the low teens over the past week, slightly above the early April climatological average of 12°C, due to reduced cold air outbreaks following March's chillier patterns. Uncertainties in boundary layer mixing and potential afternoon clearing could nudge outcomes toward 15°C (13.5%), with final IMGW hourly data releases overnight offering key refinements before resolution via official Warsaw station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
Volumen
$19,381Enddatum
4. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 14°C (41%) and 13°C (28.5%) as the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 4, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs near 14°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge ushering mild westerly airflow and partial cloud cover. Recent IMGW observations show persistent spring-like conditions with highs in the low teens over the past week, slightly above the early April climatological average of 12°C, due to reduced cold air outbreaks following March's chillier patterns. Uncertainties in boundary layer mixing and potential afternoon clearing could nudge outcomes toward 15°C (13.5%), with final IMGW hourly data releases overnight offering key refinements before resolution via official Warsaw station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$19,381Enddatum
4. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 14°C (41%) and 13°C (28.5%) as the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 4, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs near 14°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge ushering mild westerly airflow and partial cloud cover. Recent IMGW observations show persistent spring-like conditions with highs in the low teens over the past week, slightly above the early April climatological average of 12°C, due to reduced cold air outbreaks following March's chillier patterns. Uncertainties in boundary layer mixing and potential afternoon clearing could nudge outcomes toward 15°C (13.5%), with final IMGW hourly data releases overnight offering key refinements before resolution via official Warsaw station measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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