Latest Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS ensemble forecasts project a high temperature of 18-19°C at Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport on April 4, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Western Europe delivering mild southerly airflow and light cloud cover with moderate breezes. This above-seasonal warmth—early April norms average 14-15°C—explains the 87% market-implied probability for 17°C or higher, reflecting trader consensus on sustained springlike conditions amid the Easter weekend outlook. Overnight model updates confirmed the trend after April 2's cooler 13°C high under overcast skies, though minor uncertainty remains from potential cloud timing. Hourly observations from official stations will finalize resolution by evening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Paris on April 4?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 4?
17°C or higher 89%
16°C 9%
14°C 1.9%
15°C 1.0%
$29,368 Vol.
$29,368 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
1%
16°C
9%
17°C or higher
89%
17°C or higher 89%
16°C 9%
14°C 1.9%
15°C 1.0%
$29,368 Vol.
$29,368 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
1%
16°C
9%
17°C or higher
89%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS ensemble forecasts project a high temperature of 18-19°C at Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport on April 4, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Western Europe delivering mild southerly airflow and light cloud cover with moderate breezes. This above-seasonal warmth—early April norms average 14-15°C—explains the 87% market-implied probability for 17°C or higher, reflecting trader consensus on sustained springlike conditions amid the Easter weekend outlook. Overnight model updates confirmed the trend after April 2's cooler 13°C high under overcast skies, though minor uncertainty remains from potential cloud timing. Hourly observations from official stations will finalize resolution by evening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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