Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means projecting Paris's highest temperature on April 6 around 15–17°C, with 16°C leading at 32.5% amid a cool, unsettled pattern featuring northerly winds and scattered clouds over Île-de-France following recent rainy days. High uncertainty stems from model spread—GFS runs occasionally warmer toward 18–19°C under brief high-pressure ridging, while cooler outliers dip to 14°C or below if cloud cover thickens—consistent with early April climatology averaging 15°C highs and typical spring variability. Key variables include wind direction shifts, boundary layer mixing, and diurnal heating; watch daily National Weather Service updates and 00Z model refreshes for potential swings before resolution at official Paris stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Paris on April 6?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 6?
16°C 32%
17°C 21%
14°C or below 16%
15°C 16%
14°C or below
16%
15°C
16%
16°C
32%
17°C
21%
18°C
14%
19°C
9%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
16°C 32%
17°C 21%
14°C or below 16%
15°C 16%
14°C or below
16%
15°C
16%
16°C
32%
17°C
21%
18°C
14%
19°C
9%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means projecting Paris's highest temperature on April 6 around 15–17°C, with 16°C leading at 32.5% amid a cool, unsettled pattern featuring northerly winds and scattered clouds over Île-de-France following recent rainy days. High uncertainty stems from model spread—GFS runs occasionally warmer toward 18–19°C under brief high-pressure ridging, while cooler outliers dip to 14°C or below if cloud cover thickens—consistent with early April climatology averaging 15°C highs and typical spring variability. Key variables include wind direction shifts, boundary layer mixing, and diurnal heating; watch daily National Weather Service updates and 00Z model refreshes for potential swings before resolution at official Paris stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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