Trader consensus favors 12°C (30.5%) as Seoul's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts of 13–20°C highs amid an incoming rain system delivering showers from dawn through early afternoon, with clouds suppressing peak solar insolation. The broad distribution signals high uncertainty from model ensemble divergence—GFS and ECMWF runs varying 1–3°C on precipitation cessation timing, post-frontal northerly winds, and cloud forcing—which could yield 11°C or below under prolonged overcast conditions or 15–16°C if skies clear by midday. Recent weekend rain alerts echo early April climatology, where fronts often cap highs below seasonal 16–18°C norms; monitor KMA's daily updates for shifts ahead of resolution at the official station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Seoul on April 6?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 6?
12°C 29%
13°C 21%
14°C 20%
15°C 16%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
6%
11°C
13%
12°C
29%
13°C
21%
14°C
20%
15°C
16%
16°C
8%
17°C or higher
2%
12°C 29%
13°C 21%
14°C 20%
15°C 16%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
6%
11°C
13%
12°C
29%
13°C
21%
14°C
20%
15°C
16%
16°C
8%
17°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 12°C (30.5%) as Seoul's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts of 13–20°C highs amid an incoming rain system delivering showers from dawn through early afternoon, with clouds suppressing peak solar insolation. The broad distribution signals high uncertainty from model ensemble divergence—GFS and ECMWF runs varying 1–3°C on precipitation cessation timing, post-frontal northerly winds, and cloud forcing—which could yield 11°C or below under prolonged overcast conditions or 15–16°C if skies clear by midday. Recent weekend rain alerts echo early April climatology, where fronts often cap highs below seasonal 16–18°C norms; monitor KMA's daily updates for shifts ahead of resolution at the official station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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