Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Hong Kong Observatory's (HKO) latest 9-day forecast, issued April 4, projecting a 24-28°C range for April 8 amid mainly cloudy skies, light rain patches, and high humidity (75-95%) from a weakening trough of low pressure. Recent showers through April 3-5 have capped highs at 25-27°C, fostering caution despite brighter periods expected midweek and an above-normal April temperature outlook. Differentiating factors include cloud-induced suppression of solar heating versus potential for southeast winds (force 4-5) aiding slight warming; model spread on rain persistence could tip the highest observed temperature between 25-27°C, with daily HKO updates through April 7 resolving key variables like visibility and storm surge risk.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 8?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 8?
27°C 36%
25°C 26%
26°C 25%
28°C 14%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
6%
21°C
6%
22°C
8%
23°C
7%
24°C
12%
25°C
26%
26°C
25%
27°C
36%
28°C
14%
29°C or higher
5%
27°C 36%
25°C 26%
26°C 25%
28°C 14%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
6%
21°C
6%
22°C
8%
23°C
7%
24°C
12%
25°C
26%
26°C
25%
27°C
36%
28°C
14%
29°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Hong Kong Observatory's (HKO) latest 9-day forecast, issued April 4, projecting a 24-28°C range for April 8 amid mainly cloudy skies, light rain patches, and high humidity (75-95%) from a weakening trough of low pressure. Recent showers through April 3-5 have capped highs at 25-27°C, fostering caution despite brighter periods expected midweek and an above-normal April temperature outlook. Differentiating factors include cloud-induced suppression of solar heating versus potential for southeast winds (force 4-5) aiding slight warming; model spread on rain persistence could tip the highest observed temperature between 25-27°C, with daily HKO updates through April 7 resolving key variables like visibility and storm surge risk.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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