Hong Kong Observatory's (HKO) latest 9-day forecast, issued at 18:30 HKT on April 4, projects a maximum temperature range of 24–28°C for April 5 amid mainly cloudy skies with morning showers and isolated squally thunderstorms transitioning to sunny intervals in the afternoon under moderate southerly winds force 4–5. This drives closely matched trader consensus at 33.5% for 26°C, 29.5% for 27°C, and 25% for 25°C, reflecting uncertainty in peak heating: persistent morning cloud cover from a weakening trough over the Guangdong coast could cap highs at 25–26°C, while rapid afternoon clearing might push toward 27–28°C. Sea surface temperatures near 23°C and seasonal above-normal trends add mild baseline support; next HKO update at 11:30 HKT April 5 may refine model consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 5. April?
Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 5. April?
26°C 37%
25°C 30%
27°C 25%
28°C 10.0%
$25,309 Vol.
$25,309 Vol.
19°C oder darunter
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
30%
26°C
37%
27°C
25%
28°C
10%
29°C oder höher
2%
26°C 37%
25°C 30%
27°C 25%
28°C 10.0%
$25,309 Vol.
$25,309 Vol.
19°C oder darunter
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
30%
26°C
37%
27°C
25%
28°C
10%
29°C oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 1, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's (HKO) latest 9-day forecast, issued at 18:30 HKT on April 4, projects a maximum temperature range of 24–28°C for April 5 amid mainly cloudy skies with morning showers and isolated squally thunderstorms transitioning to sunny intervals in the afternoon under moderate southerly winds force 4–5. This drives closely matched trader consensus at 33.5% for 26°C, 29.5% for 27°C, and 25% for 25°C, reflecting uncertainty in peak heating: persistent morning cloud cover from a weakening trough over the Guangdong coast could cap highs at 25–26°C, while rapid afternoon clearing might push toward 27–28°C. Sea surface temperatures near 23°C and seasonal above-normal trends add mild baseline support; next HKO update at 11:30 HKT April 5 may refine model consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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