Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF, projecting Chongqing's highest temperature on April 4 at 26-28°C under persistent high-pressure ridging and sunny skies with light northeast winds below 12 km/h. Recent mild conditions on April 3, with highs near 25°C, support above-normal warmth for early April—historical averages hover around 23°C—due to the Sichuan Basin's subsidence warming and low cloud cover enhancing daytime insolation. Differentiation hinges on overnight lows (expected 15-19°C), precise cloud timing, and minor wind shifts; southerly flows could nudge toward 28°C, while increased humidity caps at 26°C. Updated CMA bulletins overnight may refine model spreads before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 4?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 4?
27°C 27%
26°C 26%
28°C 26%
29°C 12%
$11,976 Vol.
$11,976 Vol.
4. Apr. 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
26%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
12%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 27%
26°C 26%
28°C 26%
29°C 12%
$11,976 Vol.
$11,976 Vol.
4. Apr. 2026
22°C or below
$2,815 Vol.
1%
23°C
$2,032 Vol.
2%
24°C
$2,062 Vol.
2%
25°C
$876 Vol.
7%
26°C
$693 Vol.
26%
27°C
$628 Vol.
27%
28°C
$632 Vol.
26%
29°C
$609 Vol.
12%
30°C
$510 Vol.
4%
31°C
$530 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$590 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF, projecting Chongqing's highest temperature on April 4 at 26-28°C under persistent high-pressure ridging and sunny skies with light northeast winds below 12 km/h. Recent mild conditions on April 3, with highs near 25°C, support above-normal warmth for early April—historical averages hover around 23°C—due to the Sichuan Basin's subsidence warming and low cloud cover enhancing daytime insolation. Differentiation hinges on overnight lows (expected 15-19°C), precise cloud timing, and minor wind shifts; southerly flows could nudge toward 28°C, while increased humidity caps at 26°C. Updated CMA bulletins overnight may refine model spreads before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
Volumen
$11,976Enddatum
4. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 2:32 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF, projecting Chongqing's highest temperature on April 4 at 26-28°C under persistent high-pressure ridging and sunny skies with light northeast winds below 12 km/h. Recent mild conditions on April 3, with highs near 25°C, support above-normal warmth for early April—historical averages hover around 23°C—due to the Sichuan Basin's subsidence warming and low cloud cover enhancing daytime insolation. Differentiation hinges on overnight lows (expected 15-19°C), precise cloud timing, and minor wind shifts; southerly flows could nudge toward 28°C, while increased humidity caps at 26°C. Updated CMA bulletins overnight may refine model spreads before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$11,976Enddatum
4. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 2:32 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF, projecting Chongqing's highest temperature on April 4 at 26-28°C under persistent high-pressure ridging and sunny skies with light northeast winds below 12 km/h. Recent mild conditions on April 3, with highs near 25°C, support above-normal warmth for early April—historical averages hover around 23°C—due to the Sichuan Basin's subsidence warming and low cloud cover enhancing daytime insolation. Differentiation hinges on overnight lows (expected 15-19°C), precise cloud timing, and minor wind shifts; southerly flows could nudge toward 28°C, while increased humidity caps at 26°C. Updated CMA bulletins overnight may refine model spreads before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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