Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 40.5% implied probability for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 6 at 19°C or below, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicating persistent cloud cover and rain, capping daytime highs near 20°C. This marks a sharp cooldown from today's expected 27-28°C peak amid a frontal system shifting cooler, moist air into the region, typical for early spring in Chongqing's subtropical climate where averages hover around 21°C. Outcomes at 21°C (23.5%) and 20°C (17.5%) reflect model consensus, though uncertainty persists in exact precipitation intensity and timing; daily CMA updates through April 5 could refine these odds ahead of resolution via official airport observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 6?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 6?
19°C or below 41%
21°C 24%
20°C 18%
22°C 9%
19°C or below
41%
20°C
18%
21°C
24%
22°C
9%
23°C
6%
24°C
4%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
19°C or below 41%
21°C 24%
20°C 18%
22°C 9%
19°C or below
41%
20°C
18%
21°C
24%
22°C
9%
23°C
6%
24°C
4%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 2, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 40.5% implied probability for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 6 at 19°C or below, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicating persistent cloud cover and rain, capping daytime highs near 20°C. This marks a sharp cooldown from today's expected 27-28°C peak amid a frontal system shifting cooler, moist air into the region, typical for early spring in Chongqing's subtropical climate where averages hover around 21°C. Outcomes at 21°C (23.5%) and 20°C (17.5%) reflect model consensus, though uncertainty persists in exact precipitation intensity and timing; daily CMA updates through April 5 could refine these odds ahead of resolution via official airport observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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