MetService's latest forecast, issued Thursday morning April 2, projects Wellington's highest temperature on April 4 at 19°C amid mainly fine conditions, a chance of evening showers, and strong morning northerlies easing later, driving trader consensus with 38.5% implied probability on that outcome. Recent observations show highs near 19°C over the past days, aligning with NIWA's March-May outlook favoring above-average autumn temperatures (50% chance) in the region, where climatological April highs average 17°C. Uncertainty stems from precipitation odds (60% for 1+ mm), potentially cooling to 18°C (17.5%), or clearer skies warming to 20°C (28.5%); monitor Friday's model updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Wellington on April 4?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 4?
19°C 38%
20°C 32%
18°C 16%
21°C 13.4%
$22,788 Vol.
$22,788 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
16%
19°C
38%
20°C
32%
21°C
13%
22°C or higher
5%
19°C 38%
20°C 32%
18°C 16%
21°C 13.4%
$22,788 Vol.
$22,788 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
16%
19°C
38%
20°C
32%
21°C
13%
22°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast, issued Thursday morning April 2, projects Wellington's highest temperature on April 4 at 19°C amid mainly fine conditions, a chance of evening showers, and strong morning northerlies easing later, driving trader consensus with 38.5% implied probability on that outcome. Recent observations show highs near 19°C over the past days, aligning with NIWA's March-May outlook favoring above-average autumn temperatures (50% chance) in the region, where climatological April highs average 17°C. Uncertainty stems from precipitation odds (60% for 1+ mm), potentially cooling to 18°C (17.5%), or clearer skies warming to 20°C (28.5%); monitor Friday's model updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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