Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in 48-hour numerical weather prediction models for Beijing Capital International Airport's highest temperature on April 6, with China Meteorological Administration guidance and World Meteorological Centre projecting 14-16°C under clear skies and northerly cold air advection limiting solar heating after recent frontal passage. Global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF diverge slightly, some clustering at 17-19°C due to varying boundary layer mixing and urban heat effects, while April averages hover near 20°C historically. The close split between 19°C (33%) and 20°C+ (33%) hinges on potential for stronger insolation or delayed cooling; watch daily CMA updates and new model runs through April 5 for resolution-defining shifts within typical ±2°C forecast error bands.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Beijing on April 6?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 6?
19°C 34%
20°C or higher 32.8%
18°C 16%
17°C 10%
$10,139 Vol.
$10,139 Vol.
6. Apr. 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
5%
17°C
10%
18°C
16%
19°C
34%
20°C or higher
33%
19°C 34%
20°C or higher 32.8%
18°C 16%
17°C 10%
$10,139 Vol.
$10,139 Vol.
6. Apr. 2026
10°C or below
$521 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,110 Vol.
1%
12°C
$1,176 Vol.
1%
13°C
$1,871 Vol.
1%
14°C
$1,562 Vol.
2%
15°C
$537 Vol.
3%
16°C
$763 Vol.
5%
17°C
$446 Vol.
10%
18°C
$538 Vol.
16%
19°C
$418 Vol.
34%
20°C or higher
$1,198 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in 48-hour numerical weather prediction models for Beijing Capital International Airport's highest temperature on April 6, with China Meteorological Administration guidance and World Meteorological Centre projecting 14-16°C under clear skies and northerly cold air advection limiting solar heating after recent frontal passage. Global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF diverge slightly, some clustering at 17-19°C due to varying boundary layer mixing and urban heat effects, while April averages hover near 20°C historically. The close split between 19°C (33%) and 20°C+ (33%) hinges on potential for stronger insolation or delayed cooling; watch daily CMA updates and new model runs through April 5 for resolution-defining shifts within typical ±2°C forecast error bands.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 2, 2026, 6:31 AM ET
Volumen
$10,139Enddatum
6. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 2, 2026, 6:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in 48-hour numerical weather prediction models for Beijing Capital International Airport's highest temperature on April 6, with China Meteorological Administration guidance and World Meteorological Centre projecting 14-16°C under clear skies and northerly cold air advection limiting solar heating after recent frontal passage. Global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF diverge slightly, some clustering at 17-19°C due to varying boundary layer mixing and urban heat effects, while April averages hover near 20°C historically. The close split between 19°C (33%) and 20°C+ (33%) hinges on potential for stronger insolation or delayed cooling; watch daily CMA updates and new model runs through April 5 for resolution-defining shifts within typical ±2°C forecast error bands.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$10,139Enddatum
6. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 2, 2026, 6:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in 48-hour numerical weather prediction models for Beijing Capital International Airport's highest temperature on April 6, with China Meteorological Administration guidance and World Meteorological Centre projecting 14-16°C under clear skies and northerly cold air advection limiting solar heating after recent frontal passage. Global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF diverge slightly, some clustering at 17-19°C due to varying boundary layer mixing and urban heat effects, while April averages hover near 20°C historically. The close split between 19°C (33%) and 20°C+ (33%) hinges on potential for stronger insolation or delayed cooling; watch daily CMA updates and new model runs through April 5 for resolution-defining shifts within typical ±2°C forecast error bands.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen