Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, corroborated by AccuWeather and China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Shanghai Pudong International Airport's highest temperature on April 5 at around 24°C, reflecting a sharp rebound from rain-cooled highs near 16°C on April 3 amid southerly winds and reduced cloud cover early in the day. Trader consensus hovers tightly between 23°C (23.5%) and 24°C (22.5%) due to model spread over afternoon cloud buildup potentially capping peaks, alongside typical early-April variability where historical averages sit at 17–18°C but shortwave ridges often drive 2–5°C anomalies. New runs expected daily through April 4 could refine implied probabilities as surface observations confirm warming trajectory.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 5?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 5?
23°C 23%
24°C 23%
25°C 15%
26°C 13.3%
$16,420 Vol.
$16,420 Vol.
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
11%
22°C
13%
23°C
23%
24°C
23%
25°C
15%
26°C
13%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
1%
23°C 23%
24°C 23%
25°C 15%
26°C 13.3%
$16,420 Vol.
$16,420 Vol.
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
11%
22°C
13%
23°C
23%
24°C
23%
25°C
15%
26°C
13%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, corroborated by AccuWeather and China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Shanghai Pudong International Airport's highest temperature on April 5 at around 24°C, reflecting a sharp rebound from rain-cooled highs near 16°C on April 3 amid southerly winds and reduced cloud cover early in the day. Trader consensus hovers tightly between 23°C (23.5%) and 24°C (22.5%) due to model spread over afternoon cloud buildup potentially capping peaks, alongside typical early-April variability where historical averages sit at 17–18°C but shortwave ridges often drive 2–5°C anomalies. New runs expected daily through April 4 could refine implied probabilities as surface observations confirm warming trajectory.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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