Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, which cluster Shanghai's highest temperature at Pudong International Airport on April 6 around 22–24°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover timing, potential sea breeze moderation, and minor frontal influences, with some model members peaking at 22°C via increased low-level stability and others at 23–24°C from enhanced solar insolation. Recent observations show April 3's high at 17°C amid cooler northerlies, but warming trends toward seasonal norms of 18–19°C average highs. New 12-hourly forecast updates from China Meteorological Administration and global models could shift probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 6?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 6?
23°C 24%
22°C 23%
24°C 16%
25°C 13%
NEU
$20,079 Vol.
NEU
$20,079 Vol.
6. Apr. 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
9%
22°C
23%
23°C
24%
24°C
16%
25°C
13%
26°C
7%
27°C or higher
5%
23°C 24%
22°C 23%
24°C 16%
25°C 13%
NEU
$20,079 Vol.
NEU
$20,079 Vol.
6. Apr. 2026
17°C or below
$3,760 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,024 Vol.
1%
19°C
$976 Vol.
2%
20°C
$1,132 Vol.
3%
21°C
$1,720 Vol.
9%
22°C
$1,462 Vol.
23%
23°C
$1,357 Vol.
24%
24°C
$2,263 Vol.
16%
25°C
$835 Vol.
13%
26°C
$1,633 Vol.
7%
27°C or higher
$3,916 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, which cluster Shanghai's highest temperature at Pudong International Airport on April 6 around 22–24°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover timing, potential sea breeze moderation, and minor frontal influences, with some model members peaking at 22°C via increased low-level stability and others at 23–24°C from enhanced solar insolation. Recent observations show April 3's high at 17°C amid cooler northerlies, but warming trends toward seasonal norms of 18–19°C average highs. New 12-hourly forecast updates from China Meteorological Administration and global models could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Volumen
$20,079Enddatum
6. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, which cluster Shanghai's highest temperature at Pudong International Airport on April 6 around 22–24°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover timing, potential sea breeze moderation, and minor frontal influences, with some model members peaking at 22°C via increased low-level stability and others at 23–24°C from enhanced solar insolation. Recent observations show April 3's high at 17°C amid cooler northerlies, but warming trends toward seasonal norms of 18–19°C average highs. New 12-hourly forecast updates from China Meteorological Administration and global models could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$20,079Enddatum
6. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, which cluster Shanghai's highest temperature at Pudong International Airport on April 6 around 22–24°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover timing, potential sea breeze moderation, and minor frontal influences, with some model members peaking at 22°C via increased low-level stability and others at 23–24°C from enhanced solar insolation. Recent observations show April 3's high at 17°C amid cooler northerlies, but warming trends toward seasonal norms of 18–19°C average highs. New 12-hourly forecast updates from China Meteorological Administration and global models could shift probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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