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Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 6?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 6?

Apr. 4

Apr. 5

Apr. 6

Apr. 7

Apr. 4

Apr. 5

Apr. 6

Apr. 7

24°C 36%

23°C 28%

25°C 18%

22°C 11%

Polymarket
NEU

24°C 36%

23°C 28%

25°C 18%

22°C 11%

Polymarket
NEU

19°C or below

$385 Vol.

2%

20°C

$199 Vol.

5%

21°C

$181 Vol.

8%

22°C

$215 Vol.

11%

23°C

$340 Vol.

28%

24°C

$272 Vol.

36%

25°C

$688 Vol.

18%

26°C

$624 Vol.

7%

27°C

$193 Vol.

2%

28°C

$432 Vol.

1%

29°C or higher

$527 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 36% implied probability for a 24°C high in Mexico City on April 6, closely trailed by 23°C at 27.5%, reflecting the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles clustering forecasts around 23–25°C amid lingering effects from Cold Front 43, which cooled central Mexico over the past 48 hours with highs dipping to the low 20s. Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation caps diurnal warming, while an upper-level trough funnels cooler mid-latitude air southward, suppressing typical April climatological highs of 26°C. Ensemble spreads of 2–3°C highlight uncertainty from variable cloud cover and afternoon convection; watch SMN and NOAA updates from tomorrow's 00Z model runs for potential shifts ahead of resolution via Benito Juárez Airport observations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$4,057
Enddatum
6. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 2, 2026, 6:20 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 36% implied probability for a 24°C high in Mexico City on April 6, closely trailed by 23°C at 27.5%, reflecting the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles clustering forecasts around 23–25°C amid lingering effects from Cold Front 43, which cooled central Mexico over the past 48 hours with highs dipping to the low 20s. Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation caps diurnal warming, while an upper-level trough funnels cooler mid-latitude air southward, suppressing typical April climatological highs of 26°C. Ensemble spreads of 2–3°C highlight uncertainty from variable cloud cover and afternoon convection; watch SMN and NOAA updates from tomorrow's 00Z model runs for potential shifts ahead of resolution via Benito Juárez Airport observations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$4,057
Enddatum
6. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 2, 2026, 6:20 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 6?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „24°C" mit 36%, gefolgt von „23°C" mit 28%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 36¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 36% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 6?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Apr 2, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 6?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 6?" ist „24°C" mit 36%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 36% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „23°C" mit 28%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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