Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 18°C (30.5%) and 19°C (30.5%) for Wellington's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting MetService's latest forecast—issued April 3 afternoon—projecting a 19°C daytime high at Wellington International Airport under partly cloudy skies with northerlies turning southeasterly and a chance of afternoon showers. This northerly flow imports warmer air masses typical of autumn transitions, aligning with NIWA's near-average seasonal outlook, yet cloud cover from possible showers could reduce solar insolation and cap peaks at 18°C or below, as hinted in earlier model runs showing 17-18°C. Historical April highs average 17°C, adding context to the tight race; watch MetService's evening update for refined guidance amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Wellington on April 5?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 5?
18°C 31%
19°C 31%
17°C 17%
20°C 14%
$10,817 Vol.
$10,817 Vol.
11°C oder darunter
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
3%
16°C
6%
17°C
17%
18°C
31%
19°C
31%
20°C
14%
21°C or higher
5%
18°C 31%
19°C 31%
17°C 17%
20°C 14%
$10,817 Vol.
$10,817 Vol.
11°C oder darunter
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
3%
16°C
6%
17°C
17%
18°C
31%
19°C
31%
20°C
14%
21°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 18°C (30.5%) and 19°C (30.5%) for Wellington's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting MetService's latest forecast—issued April 3 afternoon—projecting a 19°C daytime high at Wellington International Airport under partly cloudy skies with northerlies turning southeasterly and a chance of afternoon showers. This northerly flow imports warmer air masses typical of autumn transitions, aligning with NIWA's near-average seasonal outlook, yet cloud cover from possible showers could reduce solar insolation and cap peaks at 18°C or below, as hinted in earlier model runs showing 17-18°C. Historical April highs average 17°C, adding context to the tight race; watch MetService's evening update for refined guidance amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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