National Weather Service forecasts for Denver point to a sunny, hot July 20 with a high near 98–99°F, aligning with the market’s leading 98–99°F bin at 55.5% implied probability and the 100–101°F outcome at 26.5%. Persistent high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and downslope warming from the Rockies support temperatures several degrees above the city’s 94°F July average. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, though slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any late-day heating could nudge readings into the low 100s. Traders are weighting the latest official guidance and historical analogs for mid-July heat events while awaiting final NWS updates before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Denver am 20. Juli?
98-99°F 50%
100-101°F 37%
96-97°F 9%
102-103°F 3.6%
$14,633 Vol.
$14,633 Vol.
89°F oder darunter
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
50%
100-101°F
37%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F oder höher
<1%
98-99°F 50%
100-101°F 37%
96-97°F 9%
102-103°F 3.6%
$14,633 Vol.
$14,633 Vol.
89°F oder darunter
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
50%
100-101°F
37%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 18, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Denver point to a sunny, hot July 20 with a high near 98–99°F, aligning with the market’s leading 98–99°F bin at 55.5% implied probability and the 100–101°F outcome at 26.5%. Persistent high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and downslope warming from the Rockies support temperatures several degrees above the city’s 94°F July average. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, though slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any late-day heating could nudge readings into the low 100s. Traders are weighting the latest official guidance and historical analogs for mid-July heat events while awaiting final NWS updates before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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