Official observations from China Meteorological Administration stations in Guangzhou, including Baiyun Airport, confirm the daily maximum temperature reached exactly 32°C during mid-afternoon hours on May 7, under partly cloudy skies with moderate humidity around 70-80%. This peak aligns with forecast model consensus from earlier ECMWF and GFS runs predicting highs near 31-32°C amid weak southerly winds and no significant heat dome influence. As evening cooling sets in—current readings dropping to 28°C—trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game certainty, backed by real-time station telemetry. A realistic challenge would require a late revision in final CMA data from an overlooked urban heat island sensor, though historical precedents show such adjustments rare below 0.5°C. Final resolution awaits tomorrow's official bulletin.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 7?
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$55,910 Vol.
$55,910 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$55,910 Vol.
$55,910 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 5, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Official observations from China Meteorological Administration stations in Guangzhou, including Baiyun Airport, confirm the daily maximum temperature reached exactly 32°C during mid-afternoon hours on May 7, under partly cloudy skies with moderate humidity around 70-80%. This peak aligns with forecast model consensus from earlier ECMWF and GFS runs predicting highs near 31-32°C amid weak southerly winds and no significant heat dome influence. As evening cooling sets in—current readings dropping to 28°C—trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game certainty, backed by real-time station telemetry. A realistic challenge would require a late revision in final CMA data from an overlooked urban heat island sensor, though historical precedents show such adjustments rare below 0.5°C. Final resolution awaits tomorrow's official bulletin.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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