Recent official observations confirm Hong Kong reached a daily maximum of 32°C on June 7, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. This aligns with early-summer subtropical patterns, where daytime highs typically range from 30–33°C under prevailing southwesterly flow and high humidity. Long-term climatology from the Hong Kong Observatory shows average June maxima near 31°C, with 32°C falling comfortably within normal variability rather than an extreme outlier. Forecast models from regional agencies converged on this range ahead of the date, and post-event verification leaves little room for revision. Only an unprecedented data correction or station-specific anomaly would realistically shift the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 7?
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$200,676 Vol.
$200,676 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$200,676 Vol.
$200,676 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 6, 2026, 12:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Recent official observations confirm Hong Kong reached a daily maximum of 32°C on June 7, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. This aligns with early-summer subtropical patterns, where daytime highs typically range from 30–33°C under prevailing southwesterly flow and high humidity. Long-term climatology from the Hong Kong Observatory shows average June maxima near 31°C, with 32°C falling comfortably within normal variability rather than an extreme outlier. Forecast models from regional agencies converged on this range ahead of the date, and post-event verification leaves little room for revision. Only an unprecedented data correction or station-specific anomaly would realistically shift the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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