**Trader consensus on a 24°C high for Istanbul on June 16, 2026, reflects the latest short-range forecast consensus from regional meteorological models and observational data.** Current conditions, including moderate June solar insolation, typical Black Sea-influenced airflow, and absence of strong high-pressure systems or heat advection, align with a daily maximum near this value. Historical climatology for mid-June shows average highs around 24–26°C, providing context for the tight market pricing. Official monitoring stations and ensemble forecasts show minimal spread, supporting near-certainty in the 24°C bucket. Realistic challenges include localized microclimate variations at reporting stations, rapid afternoon convective warming, or model revisions from updated satellite or radiosonde data that could push the verified high one degree higher or lower before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 16?
24°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$95,231 Vol.
$95,231 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$95,231 Vol.
$95,231 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
**Trader consensus on a 24°C high for Istanbul on June 16, 2026, reflects the latest short-range forecast consensus from regional meteorological models and observational data.** Current conditions, including moderate June solar insolation, typical Black Sea-influenced airflow, and absence of strong high-pressure systems or heat advection, align with a daily maximum near this value. Historical climatology for mid-June shows average highs around 24–26°C, providing context for the tight market pricing. Official monitoring stations and ensemble forecasts show minimal spread, supporting near-certainty in the 24°C bucket. Realistic challenges include localized microclimate variations at reporting stations, rapid afternoon convective warming, or model revisions from updated satellite or radiosonde data that could push the verified high one degree higher or lower before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen