Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for Tokyo on July 23, driven by persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling typical of post-rainy season conditions. These factors create tight clustering around 25–27°C outcomes in trader consensus, as urban heat island effects and potential sea breezes moderate overnight lows while afternoon showers could suppress daytime peaks and alter the daily minimum. Model spreads remain modest given the short forecast horizon, with historical July averages showing daily lows of 23–24°C providing baseline context amid current elevated readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 23. Juli?
27°C 100.0%
22°C oder darunter <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$19,887 Vol.
$19,887 Vol.
22°C oder darunter
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Ja
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C oder höher
Nein
27°C 100.0%
22°C oder darunter <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$19,887 Vol.
$19,887 Vol.
22°C oder darunter
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Ja
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for Tokyo on July 23, driven by persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling typical of post-rainy season conditions. These factors create tight clustering around 25–27°C outcomes in trader consensus, as urban heat island effects and potential sea breezes moderate overnight lows while afternoon showers could suppress daytime peaks and alter the daily minimum. Model spreads remain modest given the short forecast horizon, with historical July averages showing daily lows of 23–24°C providing baseline context amid current elevated readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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